A Bayesian Long‐term Survival Model Parametrized in the Cured Fraction

The main goal of this paper is to investigate a cure rate model that comprehends some well‐known proposals found in the literature. In our work the number of competing causes of the event of interest follows the negative binomial distribution. The model is conveniently reparametrized through the cured fraction, which is then linked to covariates by means of the logistic link. We explore the use of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to develop a Bayesian analysis in the proposed model. The procedure is illustrated with a numerical example.     

血清腺苷脱氨酶、糖类抗原199、红细胞沉降率与活动性肺结核患者病情严重程度及预后的关系研究

摘要 目的：探讨血清腺苷脱氨酶（ADA）、糖类抗原199（CA199）、红细胞沉降率（ESR）与活动性肺结核（ATB）患者病情严重程度及预后的关系。方法：选取2021年1月～2022年10月湖南省胸科医院收治的75例ATB患者作为观察组，另外选取60例同期在我院体检健康的体检者作为对照组。比较两组血清ADA、CA199及ESR水平。根据病情严重程度将ATB患者分为轻度组、中度组和重度组。比较不同病情严重程度ATB患者的血清ADA、CA199及ESR水平。观察组接受抗结核治疗，根据疗效分为预后良好组和预后不良组，比较不同预后ATB患者的血清ADA、CA199及ESR水平。收集ATB患者的临床资料，多因素Logistic回归分析ATB患者预后的影响因素。受试者工作特征（ROC）曲线分析血清ADA、CA199、ESR对ATB患者预后的预测价值。结果：观察组血清ADA、CA199、ESR均高于对照组（P＜0.05）。将观察组患者分为轻度组26例、中度组34例和重度组15例。中度组和重度组血清ADA、CA199、ESR高于轻度组（P＜0.05），重度组血清ADA、CA199、ESR高于中度组（P＜0.05）。治疗后，根据疗效将观察组患者分为预后良好组50例和预后不良组25例，预后良好组和预后不良组在性别、年龄、BMI、吸烟史、饮酒史、糖尿病史、居住地、哮喘、支气管扩张、乙型肝炎、胸片改变等方面比较差异无统计学意义（P＞0.05），预后不良组患者血清PCT、白细胞计数、ADA、CA199、ESR高于预后良好组（P＜0.05）。经多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示，血清ADA、CA199、ESR升高是ATB患者预后不良的危险因素（P＜0.05）。绘制ROC曲线结果显示，血清ADA、CA199、ESR单独预测ATB患者预后不良的AUC分别为0.655、0.675、0.699，血清ADA、CA199、ESR联合预测ATB患者预后不良的AUC为0.828，大于各指标单独检测。结论：血清ADA、CA199、ESR升高可提示ATB患者的病情严重程度，血清ADA、CA199、ESR联合检测对预测ATB患者预后不良具有较高的价值。     

Long-term patterns of mass loss during the decomposition of leaf and fine root litter: an intersite comparison

Decomposition is a critical process in global carbon cycling. During decomposition, leaf and fine root litter may undergo a later, relatively slow phase; past long-term experiments indicate this phase occurs, but whether it is a general phenomenon has not been examined. Data from Long-term Intersite Decomposition Experiment Team, representing 27 sites and nine litter types (for a total of 234 cases) was used to test the frequency of this later, slow phase of decomposition. Litter mass remaining after up to 10 years of decomposition was fit to models that included (dual exponential and asymptotic) or excluded (single exponential) a slow phase. The resultant regression equations were evaluated for goodness of fit as well as biological realism. Regression analysis indicated that while the dual exponential and asymptotic models statistically and biologically fit more of the litter type–site combinations than the single exponential model, the latter was biologically reasonable for 27–65% of the cases depending on the test used. This implies that a slow phase is common, but not universal. Moreover, estimates of the decomposition rate of the slowly decomposing component averaged 0.139–0.221 year⁻¹ (depending on method), higher than generally observed for mineral soil organic matter, but one-third of the faster phase of litter decomposition. Thus, this material may be slower than the earlier phases of litter decomposition, but not as slow as mineral soil organic matter. Comparison of the long-term integrated decomposition rate (which included all phases of decomposition) to that for the first year of decomposition indicated the former was on average 75% that of the latter, consistent with the presence of a slow phase of decomposition. These results indicate that the global store of litter estimated using short-term decomposition rates would be underestimated by at least one-third.     

Asymmetric Rate Behavior of Si Anodes for Lithium‐Ion Batteries: Ultrafast De‐Lithiation versus Sluggish Lithiation at High Current Densities

The combined effect of lithium‐ion diffusion, potential‐concentration gradient, and stress plays a critical role in the rate capability and cycle life of Si‐based anodes of lithium‐ion batteries. In this work, Si nanofilm anodes are shown to exhibit an asymmetric rate performance: around 72% of the total available capacity can be delivered during de‐lithiation under a high current density of 420 A g^‐1 (100C where C is the charge‐rate) in 22 s; in striking contrast, only 1% capacity can be delivered during lithiation. A mathematical model of single‐ion diffusion is established to elucidate the asymmetric rate performance, which can be mainly attributed to the potential‐concentration profile associated with the active material and the ohmic voltage shift under high currents; the difference in chemical diffusion coefficients during lithiation and de‐lithiation also plays a role. This clarifies that the charge and discharge rates of lithium‐ion‐battery electrodes should be evaluated separately due to the asymmetric effect in the electrochemical system.     

Primate Torpor:Regulation of Stress-activated Protein Kinases During Daily Torpor in the Gray Mouse Lemur,Microcebus murinus

Very few selected species of primates are known to be capable of entering torpor. This exciting discovery means that the ability to enter a natural state of dormancy is an ancestral trait among primate...     

Regulation of the PI3K/AKT Pathway and Fuel Utilization During Primate Torpor in the Gray Mouse Lemur,Microcebus murinus

Gray mouse lemurs (Microcebus murinus) from Madagascar present an excellent model for studies of torpor regulation in a primate species. In the present study, we analyzed the response of the insulin si...     

糖尿病肾病患者血浆NGAL和血清CysC水平改变及其早期诊断价值

目的:研究糖尿病肾病(DN)患者血浆中性粒细胞明胶酶相关脂质运载蛋白(NGAL)和血清胱抑素C(CysC)水平变化,分析其对DN的早期诊断价值。方法:选取160例糖尿病(DM)患者按尿微量白蛋白排泄率(UAER)分为DN前期组58例(A组),DN早期组52例(B组)及DN临床组50例(C组),同期选择健康体检者61例为对照组(D组)。比较四组受试者血中NGAL、CysC、尿素氮(BUN)和血肌酐(CREA),及尿中微量清蛋白(UMA)水平的差异,分析血NGAL、CysC与UMA之间的相关关系。结果:(1)A、B、C组受试者NGAL、CysC及UMA水平显著高于D组,且CBA,差异均有统计学意义(P0.05);C组BUN和CREA水平均明显高于A、B、D三组,差异均有统计学意义(P0.05),而A、B组较D组均无统计学差异(P0.05)。(2)血NGAL、CysC与尿UMA均存在正相关关系(r=0.59,0.64;P均0.05)。结论:DN早期患者血浆NGAL与血清CysC水平显著升高,且二者均与尿UMA水平存在正相关关系,可作为评价肾脏损害程度及DN早期诊断的较敏感的生物学标志物,临床推荐应用。     

PCT和NT-proBNP在脓毒血症患者生存状况预测中的应用与评价

目的:探究患者降钙素原(PCT)和N端前体脑利钠肽(NT-proBNP)水平在评价脓毒血症患者生存状况的预测价值。方法:本研究于2013年6月~2015年6月期间,选择在我院治疗的脓毒血症患者81例为研究对象,根据患者纳入研究后1个月的生存状况,将所有研究对象分为存活组(55例)和死亡组(26例)。分别测定患者PCT和NT-proBNP水平,并记录患者急性生理与慢性健康状况(APACHEII)评分,通过ROC曲线探究PCT、NT-proBNP对患者生存预后评估的价值。结果:死亡组患者PCT水平及APACHEII评分均显著高于存活组,NT-pro BNP水平显著低于存活组患者(P0.05);PCT与APACHEII评分存在正相关关系(r=0.311;P0.05);NT-pro BNP水平与APACHEII评分存在负相关关系(r=-0.289;P0.05);ROC曲线显示PCT、NT-proBNP水平预测患者生存状况的敏感性(86.23%、82.01%)及特异性(80.89%、87.39%)均较高。结论:脓毒血症患者血清PCT与NT-proBNP水平在预测患者病情严重程度及生存状况方面具有重要价值。     

去自主神经效应对环肺静脉消融房颤疗效的影响

目的：探讨去自主神经效应对环肺静脉消融(CPVA)治疗心房颤动(房颤)的远期成功率的影响。方法：选择104 例药物治疗无 效的、有临床症状的阵发性房颤患者作为研究对象,所有患者均接受CPVA 术。分别于术前、术后进行动态心电图检查,术后每3 个月复查一次动态心电。随访房颤消融成功率(术后3个月无房颤被定义为无复发);并记录动态心电心率变异性(HRV)以反映自 主神经功能。结果：本组研究共104 例患者完成了CPVA术,平均手术次数为(1.35术次数为。变次,成功率为77.9%,共随访(24.27 次数为。变异性个月。根据术后是否发生房颤,将患者分为成功组(81例)和复发组(23 例),所有患者CPVA术后的时域和频域各项 参数均显著降低(P<0.01),两组术后心率变异性(HRV) 各项参数均较术前明显降低,成功组患者的SNDD、SDANN、rMSSD、 PNN50、HF、TF、LF、VLF 较对照组患者呈现不同程度的降低。结论：CPVA术可使心房出现去自主神经效应,进而增加去神经化 效应,有利于提高其治疗房颤的远期成功率。